Here’s a Thought: Francisco Cordero Is Primed for 2010 Regression

Posted: 23rd December 2009 by Nathaniel Stoltz in MLB
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When Francisco Cordero left the Brewers after the 2007, he was an elite reliever no matter where you looked in his stats. His 44 saves, 2.98 ERA, 2.24 FIP, 2.82 xFIP, 2.12 tRA, and 2.70 True ERA all confirmed that Cordero was excellent in 2007. These same stats all pointed to a 2008 downturn for Cordero. Some (34 saves; 3.33 ERA) didn't indicate the precipitous decline of others (3.77 FIP; 3.98 xFIP; 4.35 tRA; 4.56 True ERA), however. Whatever the case, Cordero seemed to be in decline. The Reds closer got 39 saves with a 2.16 ERA in 2009, and his FIP rebounded to 3.10, so many assumed that he had returned to his 2007 dominance. Nope. At best, the Cordero of 2009 was the same as the Cordero of 2008; he was probably worse. Cordero's strikeout-to-walk rate is in tremendous decline. The 86/18 ...

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