Comments Off on The Sub-2.50 ERA Curse: Why Four Elite Pitchers May Regress in 2010
2009 was a remarkable year for the most elite pitchers in baseball, as four hurlers posted a sub-2.50 ERA. While this fact is incredible enough, so too is the reality that exactly zero pitchers accomplished this feat in the three years previous to ‘09. From 2000 to 2005, there were 11 instances of a pitcher posting an ERA under 2.50 with a minimum of 150 innings. This irregularity, when compared to the three-year drought from 2006 to 2008, is somewhat puzzling, though essentially meaningless to fantasy owners. The most useful piece of information is what these pitchers do in the season after they record a sub-2.50 ERA. While this idea was touched on briefly in an earlier article , further analysis is necessary to fully understand it. What follows is a chart which ...

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