Riddle me this: If many a fantasy analyst proclaim that itÆs very difficult to predict how a defense will do before the season, then how much stock should we put into early-season performance?
Think about it. Is it at all likely that said defense will perform up to those numbers the rest of the season if they are so unpredictable and inconsistent?
Moreover, during which week of the season is it easiest to predict a defenseÆs stats for the remainder of the year? In other words, can you better predict the final 12 games using the first four, or the final four games using the first 12?
I looked at every teamÆs game-by-game stats since 2002 (gathered from pro-football-reference.com) to investigate. I compared defensive stats prior to an ...
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Article written by Zach Fein
NFL: Examining the In-Season Correlation of Defensive Performance
Posted: 10th October 2009 by Zach Fein in NFLComments Off on NFL: Examining the In-Season Correlation of Defensive Performance