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Opponent Adjusted Quarterback Rating: Week Two I recently put together a regression model to determine the factors that most drive the number of points a football team scores in any given game.á It's a work in progress, but the factors I looked at were: Yards per attempt (Y/A) Interception Percentage Yards/Rush Average Y/A yielded by opponent Average points yielded by opponent Of the variables above, Y/A was, by the far, the strongestùfollowed by interception ...

My goal is to get into more robust analysis than what you're about to read. But, just to get myself started, I started looking at some data to see if there is any way to predict a team's offensive output (in terms of points). Before I get to that, I want to give a little background. I'm of the ever shrinking school of thought that a quarterback ...